Black Balloons Day

Infe Station, Manife Station, Fore Station – arrivée.

No Volume Period

In a no vol period moves don’t play out. Take for instance this mean reversion move. I was ready to go in with a full hedge just below the E-9.

Since I had no fills, I was watching in pain a no brainer rally draw down. Could had been the easiest money all year if I was conscious of the volume effects. 5k for zero effort. Managed to resist it.

Here you can learn for once and all the difference between regression and progression highs / lows.

The same no volume effect may have made this wave 5 up underwhelming. Why don’t I number every crossback? I need at least 3 hours from the last change of count to call a different leg.

The Unfair Value Upper Guard Rail (Green) provided support, but reluctantly and the count talks of a complete structure.

The E-9 is getting too close and the untested E-414L/E-712M zone although wide is now vulnerable too. It could be crossed with either high velocity or a consolidation in the thick of the greenery. Once surpassed it would turn a too wide empty space to cross back.

The volume and the volatility is going to return along with the new money and the upside possibilites are currently exhausted.

BAE is in the building. Used to pay a million a quarter rent when they had the whole floor. Mow they are sharing it with Exxon.