The Expiry Function

I certainly blew a fuse in the 90s when I saw the following two commercials in quick succession in New Zealand. The first one was an extremely graphic DUI, where the guy relieved over and over again the same sequence is events, where his car hits a little girl who bounces up in the air. “She was only 4 years old!” – he was bursting out repeatedly at a maximum level of distress. The collision was played back a few times in a row. Without any delay came on the second commercial which was burgers sizzling on a grill – possibly some McDonalds stuff. I had some extra appreciation for this tasteful serving as a vegetarian, yet nothing could have ptepared me for the level of morbidity that in the UK comes standard.

Euston, we have a problem.

I did not have a camera with me that day in Forest Gate. Picture a small church with a garden with crypts surrounding in every direction. Most lids are cracked, moved a bit, it is a maze virtually, hard to find a path without lots of turns from the outer gate to the building’s entrance. I just could not believe my eyes: there was a party on this burial ground with speakers, a grill flipping stand where one guy was busy producing and handing out burgers (rare to medium rare to capture the spirit of the occassion I suppose, the bloodier the better) right on top of the crypt marbles. Crammy little place this London is. If I needed more signals, later that week I saw an AD for a church that was up for rental, and I was set to write my satire about the AIR-Church&B where they speak of their best customers highly: the absolute favoutire were the Satanists, whom turned the crosses back upright and meticulously washed up the sacrificial blood from the floors before handing back the keys.

Back to trading

What’s the Expi-rationale behind Expriration? TIME (& weakness).

Just as the Loneliness Correction taking 16 hours and the Disregard Correction taking 21 hours, the Weak Trend gets cancelled in 35 hours (70* 30 minutes) when not making any progress beyond the Safety Line’s shield. See below the flip back from weak uptrend to strong downtrend.

    
///Direction Flip Back Down For No Strength (Safety - 5 pips )

if (fd[i+71]==2 && fd[i+70]==3

&& High[i]<HighBuffer[i] && High[i+1]<HighBuffer[i+1] && High[i+2]<HighBuffer[i+2] && High[i+3]<HighBuffer[i+3] && High[i+4]<HighBuffer[i+4] && High[i+5]<HighBuffer[i+5]&& High[i+6]<HighBuffer[i+6] && High[i+7]<HighBuffer[i+7] && High[i+8]<HighBuffer[i+8] && High[i+9]<HighBuffer[i+9] && High[i+10]<HighBuffer[i+10]
&& High[i+11]<HighBuffer[i+11] && High[i+12]<HighBuffer[i+12] && High[i+13]<HighBuffer[i+13] && High[i+14]<HighBuffer[i+14] && High[i+15]<HighBuffer[i+15]&& High[i+16]<HighBuffer[i+16] && High[i+17]<HighBuffer[i+17] && High[i+18]<HighBuffer[i+18] && High[i+19]<HighBuffer[i+19] && High[i+20]<HighBuffer[i+20]
&& High[i+21]<HighBuffer[i+21] && High[i+22]<HighBuffer[i+22] && High[i+23]<HighBuffer[i+23] && High[i+24]<HighBuffer[i+24] && High[i+25]<HighBuffer[i+25]&& High[i+26]<HighBuffer[i+26] && High[i+27]<HighBuffer[i+27] && High[i+28]<HighBuffer[i+28] && High[i+29]<HighBuffer[i+29] && High[i+30]<HighBuffer[i+30]
&& High[i+31]<HighBuffer[i+31] && High[i+32]<HighBuffer[i+32] && High[i+33]<HighBuffer[i+33] && High[i+34]<HighBuffer[i+34] && High[i+35]<HighBuffer[i+35]&& High[i+36]<HighBuffer[i+36] && High[i+37]<HighBuffer[i+37] && High[i+38]<HighBuffer[i+38] && High[i+39]<HighBuffer[i+39] && High[i+40]<HighBuffer[i+40]
&& High[i+41]<HighBuffer[i+41] && High[i+42]<HighBuffer[i+42] && High[i+43]<HighBuffer[i+43] && High[i+44]<HighBuffer[i+44] && High[i+45]<HighBuffer[i+45]&& High[i+46]<HighBuffer[i+46] && High[i+47]<HighBuffer[i+47] && High[i+48]<HighBuffer[i+48] && High[i+49]<HighBuffer[i+49] && High[i+50]<HighBuffer[i+50]
&& High[i+51]<HighBuffer[i+51] && High[i+52]<HighBuffer[i+52] && High[i+53]<HighBuffer[i+53] && High[i+54]<HighBuffer[i+54] && High[i+55]<HighBuffer[i+55]&& High[i+56]<HighBuffer[i+56] && High[i+57]<HighBuffer[i+57] && High[i+58]<HighBuffer[i+58] && High[i+59]<HighBuffer[i+59] && High[i+60]<HighBuffer[i+60]
&& High[i+61]<HighBuffer[i+61] && High[i+62]<HighBuffer[i+62] && High[i+63]<HighBuffer[i+63] && High[i+64]<HighBuffer[i+64] && High[i+65]<HighBuffer[i+65]&& High[i+66]<HighBuffer[i+66] && High[i+67]<HighBuffer[i+67] && High[i+68]<HighBuffer[i+68] && High[i+69]<HighBuffer[i+69] && High[i+70]<HighBuffer[i+70]

&& HighBuffer[i]!=EMPTY_VALUE
) dir[i]=-1;

I’d say the start of the correction was no coincidence. The yellow line is a previous P/NR, the darker green field is the highlight of the dip into the Municipal Trench and the lighter green field is the shield of the lower Safety Line.

If you needed any more confluence two more conditions triggered the same time. The aforementioned MFI oversold hand in hand with the 120-sample stoch dipping back below the 50-line for the first time.

What kind of a correction was this?

Well, if it had stopped at the 16th hour, it would had been a Loneliness correction, but since it went to 21, this was a Disregard correction. (It is not obvious, but price went up first on candle 21.) The difference is the degree of cooling down. A Disregard can be the origin of a more potent move, so this wold mean a New Wave over a New Leg.

I know why you are here. The auto trading stuff.

I have made 3 different EAs this year, the Municipal Trader, the W3 trader and the W3 + F3 trader.

I have been talking about what a loss of potential limiting the position size at 100 lots per trade was.

I have started feeding some volume to the weakest of the 3 routines based on bottom line score for the same period, the W3 trader.

It was made to open maximum 2 longs and 2 shorts. Now I allow multiple chunks for one of the longs and one of the shorts for up to 1000 lots total. I’d say I opened up the volume faucet to about 60 percent, just to get a better idea about its potential.

I figured 10 million was attainable. The reality?

All of a sudden a $499 price tag for an ex4 seems like a joke. I am not in a kidding mode, I would sell one source code for $49k (one of the three, and nothing more) and not take all of my secrets with me and the same time not giving fuel to the next generation of scammers.