Here’s where I was wrong:

From trending mode, the market cannot switch to neutral. It takes on a senior trend coat.

In a senior downtrend add size at every M-D pair, trail the excess
Close some beyond 42 volatility / 42 volatility undercut
Do not predict a shape, but if it prints, go with it
The turn can fail at 53, 63 pips out (20 hours)
At 80, the turn is carried out.

M-D examples

The dip below the BB did happen. The 42-pip leg did appear even with keeping the 10-sample.

The money flow did go oversold on the 30-min. A bit too low at that.

If the current hour would close above the 240-BB (or one following) there would be a window of opportunity to print a shape. Let things develop. 53-pip or 63-pip up the shape could fail (count out 20 hours) upon breaching 80-pips, the breakout may be on, and a pull back to say 60-pips would be a buy.

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