Things that I figured right.

The noodles that the market could make an acceleration/thrust from.

I’ve listed 3 check points that are statistically likely for a terminal move.

I should have considered having a full charge, in that case, the gray line (THRST/No Break Extension) is a slim chance.

The second down candle was a push against the weekly low. It was good enough for another pierce beyond the 1.0250 level.

Now comes knowledge. The third candle hit a traction surface (back and forth through the 30-BB).

Notice on the following examples how a bull flag cand disable this secondary entry.

Now? One lifeline has been used; the 8 EMO should be the next to have some grip – a 3-5 hours long sell. I could picture another low that is lower than 1.0226 but would fall shy of 1.0213.