A bit surreal this place I’m working at. I tried to fetch a picture of the Horseshit the protesters brought in to the building the other day, without luck.

2 new signals added to the Axel S,

early bird special – white blocks (accumulation)

green arrow up: fresh violation onf the E-103M up

of course these fall under the “must hedge” reminders

///fresh E103M violation
  if (dir[i]>0 && High[i]>iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i) &&
  High[i+1]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+1) && High[i+2]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+2) && High[i+3]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+3) && 
  High[i+4]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+4) && High[i+5]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+5) && High[i+6]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+6) && High[i+7]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+7) &&
  High[i+8]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+8) && High[i+9]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+9) && High[i+10]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+10))
  {
    ObjectCreate("Singender"+DoubleToStr(i), OBJ_TEXT, 1, Time[i], 70); 
    ObjectSetText("Singender"+DoubleToStr(i), CharToStr(233), 38, "Wingdings", clrChartreuse); 
    ObjectSetInteger(0,"Singender"+DoubleToStr(i),OBJPROP_BACK,1);
  }

 ///early bird special
 if (dir[i]>0 && (dir[i+1]<1 || dir[i+2]<1 || dir[i+3]<1 || dir[i+4]<1 || dir[i+5]<1 || dir[i+6]<1 || Low[i]<AxelL[i]))
 { ObjectCreate("Singendev"+DoubleToStr(i), OBJ_TEXT, 1, Time[i], 40); 
   ObjectSetText("Singendev"+DoubleToStr(i), CharToStr(110), 18, "Wingdings", clrWhite); 
   ObjectSetInteger(0,"Singendev"+DoubleToStr(i),OBJPROP_BACK,1);
 }


 ///vol breach down
 if (Low[i+1]>E16[i+1]-350*Point && Low[i]<E16[i]-350*Point && High[i+2]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+2) && High[i+10]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i+10))
 { ObjectCreate("Singendey"+DoubleToStr(i), OBJ_TEXT, 1, Time[i], 30); 
   ObjectSetText("Singendey"+DoubleToStr(i), "!", 38, "Impact", clrRed); 
   ObjectSetInteger(0,"Singendey"+DoubleToStr(i),OBJPROP_BACK,1);
 } 

Red exlamation is the breach of the E-16 high volatility displacements with distance from the E-103 band.

Cause it’s naked lights, oh what a night.

No call here, but I would add to my shorts if the upper Safety line gets violated or cash in some holdings & reload upon a gap down.

There are some contradicting signals, i.e. the buy the undercut…

…and the by back outside the equdistant channel.

The Hotstepper (red arrow + white line) has moved a smidge higher.

Current thinking?

This is a liquidity break, no question about it. Volatility is on the rise.

There is a little bit of extra the 2nd time around (red circle) compared to the channel’s size. 120 pips would not be unusual.

It is always the one chart that you temporarily stopped paying attention to. 14x 4H of immunity.

The bumper line is at 1.06. The box of the low therefore was not shaded. Another leg is coming to a shaded box.

The third x1 without a single x3 is still an x3, but made of three x1s, capiche?

The strong uptrend with this kind of velocity / ascent cannot stick.

The money flow extreme on the weekly cannot be the high / low. This is certain to go outside the Window Envelope (Blue Line). Coul see a 4x-4.5x stretch, and that would be still just regaining regular volatility.

---

It is good to know that someone can hold a candle to Morten Harket after all.

That spinner was most powerfl down there.

So, this was not the first Fx1, and I had no intel for it.

As you can see, once the lower Safety line was tripped, 1.0725 was a level of interest (statistical 34 pips extra). I should have been conscious of the upper Safety in glowing red asking for the ball.

I added the new intel trrough Google Remote Desktop. This new version sucks, and I try to avoid things requiring copy and paste.

   if (fd[i]==1 && (dir[i+1]>=0 || Low[i]>iMA(symbol,0,356,0,MODE_SMA,PRICE_MEDIAN,i) || Low[i+1]<E16[i+1]-380*Point || Low[i+2]<E16[i+2]-380*Point)){
                       ObjectCreate("Taller"+IntegerToString(i), OBJ_TEXT, 0, Time[i], Low[i]-90*Point); 
                       ObjectSetText("Taller"+IntegerToString(i), "trade to E-44", 26, "Impact", Chartreuse);        
                     }
                     else if (fd[i]==1) {
                         ObjectCreate("Taller"+IntegerToString(i), OBJ_TEXT, 0, Time[i], Low[i]-90*Point); 
                       ObjectSetText("Taller"+IntegerToString(i), "trade to 2.8", 26, "Impact", Chartreuse);        
                     }

There should be more dowside to catch up with the white stretch line.

The 11.4 stochastic reading in the magenta box is white, not ideal. Between 8.5 and 4 it would be ideal for a turn.

iStochastic(symbol,0,18,3,3,0,0,0,i)<8.5 && iStochastic(symbol,0,18,3,3,0,0,0,i)>4)

My hedge scale-in was ok, albeit I did end up ratcheting things higher.

I missed out on an opportunity to cash out the hedge into the doji above and then scale back in once more.

I auto-tageted the E-32, which was pessimistic. Should had auto targeted the Municipal Trench instead. Still made $1039 mostly with the hedge, that’s a 4.8% daily gain, close 5x my daily average of 0.9%.

I’m looking for x2 and x3 in the 1.0692-1.0656 zone.

---

René has finally given up on the FTMO scam, and is now trading for real. Way to go man!

I used IC demos before until I got two Hyperactivity bans. Me, auto trading and IC Markets are incompatible.

---

Tryptophan or crypto fan?

Crypto is the biggest scam that humanity could come up with. Yep, Elon Musk is a weak second.

My coworker has a Coinbase account. I had him sell off his Etherium holdings near the peak two weeks ago. Until then he never sold anything.

Last week he was suspended from trading due to new regulations. He was trying every possible combination to get through the questionnaire. I think it was 6 questions with 3 possible answers. I tried to help, but failed too. Imagine wanting to sell something and finding no control over your holdings!

Crypto is a scam on every concieveable level.

I’m in volatility advisor mode now.

I have added two limiter lines to the Bands routine, 2.8x fluctuation maximum away from the mean.

 int FSize=32;
 double FMax = FSize*6/5;

  E9P[i]=iMA(symbol,0,9,0,MODE_EMA, PRICE_MEDIAN,i)+FMax*2.8*10*Point;
  E9M[i]=iMA(symbol,0,9,0,MODE_EMA, PRICE_MEDIAN,i)-FMax*2.8*10*Point;

The blue circles are grazes, the red ovals are going outside for more than once intraday / barely getting outside. The red ones are in “normal” volatility times, the blue ones are the symptom of “bare minimum” volatility.

The following things are observations.

Of course, the red-blue on the first run up talks of vaning volatility, hence you see the correction next.

If the first print is a blue one, than the following day can give a signal regarding continuation by taking out the high or low. The two examples on the downside got ultimately exceeded by 55 and 27 pips before the divergent turns materialized.

Obviously, the minimum expectation now is that the volatility would have to get high enough to catch up to the bands to even start the divergent turn (if the following day of the graze would be a lower low first).

When the volatility was still normal, you could go by the Nick Rhodes vertical lines to spot the Measuring leg and then play the textbook daily higher high lower low trend thing after a one day break to arrive at the Divergent leg (outside the white lines again) to find an optimal exit.

The reason why Cem Karsan is looking for a blow off top on the S&P is that when volatility starts increasing, the market would start accelerating in the direction that it’s been going first before setting up the reversal divergence (push & echo).

Who knew that you don’t even need Bollinger Bands let alone Vix to measure volatility, simple EMA dispacements can do?!

(the reference)

I am a non-critical lynchpin.

Those of us motion stay in devotion.

x3 is still missing. In fact, it could come in at a whole lot lower.

The volatility is currently abysmal, I would like to see a 2.8x stretch from the mean at a very minumum to call a bottom (upper left gray numbers).

Where the swing low and the interrupted blue meets, that looks to be a confluence of interest. As above, is below. 1.0690

---

The things to learn from Tom Hougaard? What broker to use, which futures markets to trade, how to maximize leverage (sizing, snowballing in).

What not to learn? Narcissism is not a trading strategy.

The phenomenon that he points out about the FTSE is just that. May or may not continue into the future, so overall the show is “here’s nothing, grab it well”.

Now, if only he could get as far as isolating conditions with careful filtering and starting to build flow charts resembling that of logical circuits, and ditching the idea of one market must behave like another, he could start following in my footsteps. He does not see beyond a group of candles and the timeframes he vouches for would never prove consistent.

His vanity would never let him admit to how bad he is at finding the trade and knowing the right sequence of the events, the bigger picture, so he takes his hide in the quantum world, where temporarily chaos may rule.

I knew a French guy, who put his life on an algo that works on 1 or 3-minute time frame on futures and currencies. I bet, after 10+ years searching, he still hasn’t find a one routine works with multiple instruments in the quantum space. He had me chase ghosts on an IG back tester. Every odd run came back with wildly different results as the even runs. Like an observer looking at a quantum state at random times.

If you want to understand the story, the what comes next, look on the 30 min, 1H charts. Statistics are important, they are the edge, but they do not exist on 5 minutes and below. One instrument is nothing like another.

Produced by Brian Hazard

In Space, No One Can Hear You Cry Lyrics

[Verse 1]
I am a non-critical system
Stuck on an overcritical rock
Lacking the skills, knowledge or training
To qualify as an astronaut
But could I be a passenger?
Stowaway or cargo?
Baggage?

[Chorus 1]
In space no one can hear you cry
I smile and mouth the word goodbye
I’ll seek out a colony
Whichever one will take me
Take me to the stars

[Verse 2]
An object in motion stays in motion
An object at rest stays at rest
Sound waves can’t travel in a vacuum
And nobody passes my empathy test
But I don’t need an audience
Loneliness beats ignorance any day

[Chorus 2]
In space no one can hear you cry
A satellite to resupply
I’ll survey the galaxy
Hitchhiking from rover to rover
Take me to the stars

[Chorus 3]
In space no one can hear you cry
Self-conscious of their naked eyes
If you join in my fantasy
I promise to accept you

This was the call: Vicious Sell @ 1.0861 (min. TGT the lower safety line @ 0.28)

This was the delivery, albeit it took 3 days to play out.

With a Hungarian expression: “mint vemhes csiga az enyvesfazékban” like a pregnant snail in a bucket full of glue.

It has been so long (100+ hours since X2), that the counter was reset, the next print would be an X1 – plenty more dowside trades to be had.

The biggest unanswered question is, why is this funny?

19.8% January, 22% February, 19.3% March (currently).

X1 intel…

So, there is this dilemma of keeping a memory of a volatility expansion.

As a first step I can see making a version of the 15-min ATR targets and make a plot for the previous consolidation mean and some “previous W3” boxes plots – and then I need to do some more thinking of what and how could be carried over to a daily chart.

As a reminder, a Vicious Sell means that the lower Safety Line (0.28) is going to get taken out next.

Also, we have just come back to a virgin spinner.

---

So, a gypsy gal at one of the brothels in my home town told me back in the days that they were the property of “Szeva”.

Of course I was interested in finding out how the good old guy’s life has shaped up and YouTube has its segments.

It’s about x3 again. If no x1 gets printed in the opposite direction for 46 hours, the wind dies away.

This would be the 2nd “time out” implementation into the Triple F directional logic, and God knows I love logical circuits at least as much as the next man.

The fearure that I decided to latch onto was not letting the energy consolidate (go above 53) plus price went outside the 5.9 line in the near past plus apathy from the Municipals.

/////choppiness flip
  if (Close[i]<iMA(symbol,0,103,0,MODE_EMA,PRICE_LOW,i) && CI[ArrayMaximum(CI,28,i)]<53 &&
      (High[i+10]>AxelU1[i+10] || High[i+11]>AxelU1[i+11] || High[i+12]>AxelU1[i+12] || High[i+13]>AxelU1[i+13] || High[i+14]>AxelU1[i+14] || High[i+15]>AxelU1[i+15] ||    
      High[i+16]>AxelU1[i+16] || High[i+17]>AxelU1[i+17] || High[i+18]>AxelU1[i+18] || High[i+19]>AxelU1[i+19] ||  High[i+20]>AxelU1[i+20]) 
      ) dir[i]=0;

For once I am not positive that the trade to E-44 makes sense, because it is technically an x4 starting a second batch, and until now volatility has been calling the shots.

When X-1 Wing shows up, you can bet on OBi 1 to pull you back with force, like a clockwork.

What of the bargain made?

There can be OBi 1 and of course you are Player 1.

Save your breath, I did not have to make any changes to call the X3.

From an X1 price would always, always return back to the E-44.

It may go against you 10, even 20 pips, and it may only be worth 17-34 pips, but it is dead certain.

I have churned butter once or twice…

As for actualities, Chipolte had a 50:1 stock split.

What comes after Kebi Van Onobi? Easy enough. X2. Another full discharge beyond the Safety Line.

“Don’t wanna be a victim of a system I did not create.”

Humanity is made up of natural born scammers.

The hope for AI is that it is something that can be abused for political, financial gain, to get rich off a hype where the worst case scenario is to sell something virtually worthless to some company that is cash heavy or maybe improve on something as the occassional arrhythmia. Bottom line is that we’re ethically fcked.

Write an essay instead of you ditching plagerism charges, convince others that they are talking to an actual human being… Take away jobs, dignity, the very reason to exist, to aspire. You are up to no good from the getgo.

Why is hallucinating alternate histories is of benefit to anyone? Answer this, right before Large Language Models take over the world.

---

What can’t you make a bottom or top without?

Counter directional volatility.

When price does not even get to the opposing F1 @ 1.0912 (yellow histogram print) they are not even trying.

Crack #4 is a 41+ pips registered. Nowhere to be found.

There is a lower money flow reversal zone…

The last consolidation mean plus the 3-day ATR would make an attainable zone from 1.0836-1.0821. The stochastic is embedded to the downside.

Nick Rhodes puts the next daily supports at 1.0824, 1.0803 and 1.0775.

The RSI2 is nowhere near oversold enough for a turn.