The chart does not have a parabolic look because the broker I’m with has a 100-lot max size limitation. The test would have ended up with an over 10 million print with another broker that allows size to 2000 lots, like Squared Financial (the max leverage there is 300).

I am going to make this available at $499 per .ex4

Trading size is calculated relative to the account size.

Currently there’s only one parameter (chosing longs only / shorts only / both is a given), a divider (“/4”) that is a bit of size muter to make the first mile with less of a stress. Put it at /10 and the size would be less. Put it at one and you are going with all that a 1:500 leverage would manage.

All positions have stop losses (and targets) and there are two different trail stops in place for the long (5/6th of distance travelled) and the short side (4/5th of distance travelled) starting at being in 25 pips in gains.

There are a maxiumum of 2 longs and 2 shorts that could be open at any given time.

The opening signals are some of my best signals (in 14 years) and they are further back tested. An eclectic mix of 5 different prompts and there are daily filters to hold back some of the at market opens.

The stop losses are 40 pips out for the 2 longs and 25 and 35 pips out for the two shorts. These are not changeable currently and I do not intend to make the two sides even.

Also, I am not interested in runnig it on any other instrument that I do not have good statistical knowledge of.

Try it on 1k and let it go to 300k. Don’t ever touch it. Isn’t that the idea behind fully automated trading?

Add it to your personal trading account, choose a manageable size divider (i.e. /6), and let the rutine grab opportunities that you would have missed (hybrid trading).

The first test of the W3 trader. 1 year.

I carried over the at market open, the size boost, but now I’m down to maximum 1 open position per side, ditched all the daily filters and have only a 3 day ATR for a hold back, the short / long opening triggers are for once symmetrical, consolidation/fractal energy based and thus almost everything is different from the Municipal Trader.

I had a feeling that it may work alright, but this actually blew my mind. The Mick Jagger motive is most certainly a new thing.

My thinking after seeing overwhelming success with the longs is that I may let both of these roam longs only (one with stop losses, one without) while I’d be manually trading the downside.

2 yrs backtest (took 4 hours to complete), longs only, max drawdown: 7.79%>

My only ever routine that I made as is, in one go and felt no need to improving on any of the filters. Getting a Z2 G9 next week.

How to anticipate a breakdown failure?

I’m thinking about making a shop page with some professional tools for sale. Besides CounterForce62, the Tie Machine would have to be made available – the spinner plot is incorporated in it, which is a money flow extreme plot.

The way it works: once price closed below the deep pink low, it should not have made it back beyond the middle of the spinner(s) the 1.0831-1.0835 (blue) zone; when it was re-visited, they grabbed the opportunity and bought in.

You know me by now, the most important stuff is in blue or yellow.

Coming back to F2 is not a big deal, a new leg may start from here, and as you can see the W3 limit zone is currently 1.0779-1.0761.

That’s where I think Wave 1 would print its end, at 2.8x stretch from the E-9 (gray inverse numbers top left) before coming back right here or a bit higher to start Wave 3 down.

I share most of my tools for free, only a handful would cost money. I want to provide the choice for your voting money to either give to line drawing cowboys whom would point in both directions, and even give you the wrong bias, i.e.:

…or obtain true understanding of what is happening, where and how.

Planning to do some back testing over the weekend for some auto trading ideas I have.

Understand what today’s & yesterday’s whiplash did:

It shook off as many holders as was possible and re-calibrated the market. There is a near equilibrium with a bit of a bearish tinge. The 0.59 got pierced whilst the 5.9 got just missed.

The market went from the Fake out line on the downside to the Tolerance level on the upside.

The range has remainded the same for 2 days, price is consolidating after a volatility crush just below the current consolidation mean (purple arrow), right on top of the daily E-9, just below last week’s pivot.

These are the current W3 brackets (close and far ends of the expansion zone), and Ci has yet to cross above 53 (now 44.92).

I was surprised to see a Patient 0 print, since a liquidity break is usually a right shoulder, so this lower low did not really fit the bill, yet the rally from it was tremendous. Black ball with a dot = 95% chance that the top is in. QE: +20% chance.

There would be a minimal shift of the range and a bit of expansion of the 3-day ATR due to the last few days having larger ranges.

The daily stochastic is embedded to the downside, a lower low with a higher stochastic reading is a must to be able to get anything going on the upside. The 19 SMA is at a steep decline. I think 1.0775 would be attainable in the coming days.

I dumped almost all longs today, and am 95% short.

The push on the lower Bollinger gets postponed till tomorrow.

I wanted to talk a bit about the P/NR the last time around, but forgot to include it.

So, a reaction is to be expected upon the backtest. Added the yellow plot with 8 hours of moratorium before testing for collision.

Axel S 1.1

We hit the fake out level, but so far only one close was made below. More 30-min closes below -> 36 pips more downside => 1.0795

Now, whatever happens, tomorrow the lower daily 30-sample Bollinger Band is gonna be popped (it would move closer of course) & the Measuring leg (Wave 1) is going to get initiated.

The right approach to trading is constantly asking, what is missing here?

The market made 3 full discharges on the downside yet in 2 days it hasn’t managed even a partial one on.the upside.

Also, the money flow droop set a trap to trip on.

What is the holdup?

The municipals in trench 207 are pushing the beach ball back below the waterline / handing out longs for a sucker rally.

Because of the energy build up / the buoyant kick at the start, I do not simply expect a discharge beyond the 2.8 Safety line, but a pop beyond the 5.9.

Now, the risk is making 30-minute closes beyond 1.0940, since that would make 1.0977 attainable, even if price falls back first 30 pips.

On the picture below you can see the upper guard rail (green) and the Goldilocks level coming together at 1.0956.

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Slave to something…

There’s some kind of a betrayal going on here.

Yields to rise, Dollar to go Boombastic, the manatee matinée is on, but there’s one problem here. The professional activity.

Pro volume last week (cyan), current week sitting on the E-21, perhaps they are going to re-load on the bounce.

…pro volume yest, ascending E-50, likely a cover.

1.0950-1.0960 is where the S-19 would be in the coming days.

3rd full discharge. Wpiot is at 1.0953

I was looking for the Don’t Drop That Gong, Baby song from the 80s, no luck.

Final divergences, price at support.

There’s also the weekly E-34 just below.

Halfway between the Weekly S1 and S2.

There is nothing with better predicting power than the Money Flow Droop.

Once the sensitive level gets touched, price shall just about make it to the other end, no matter how reluctant the move would be.

The low was 1.08444

Now, I wanted to somehow the parabolic phase come with a tangible target as well.

What I am finding is that the F-1 (read it as “Ef minus one”) market when making the 3rd push, the ATR projection’s W3 far end is the needle I was looking for in the enormous Nay-stack.

I forgot to take a snapshot yesterday, but the W3 zone was 1.0872-1.0851 (close end to far end). After that the zone does not change despite of price reaching high consolidation levels.

When price popped the upper 30-minute 30-sample BB (Zero print) the market moderated to an F-0 market, which means that a Flash Gordon divergence on the downside (missing the BB) would work fine for a bottom.

W3 (orange box) plot example below. Currently only the downside shows, because price is below the purple arrow (consolidation mean).

15 min ATR targets PRO

2 full discharges made, the logical return would be an F2 pullback, 62+ pips up from the low. 1.0844+.0062 = 1.0906

I am not expecting a return beyond the E9 at this point (cca 1.0940). Why? Because the market has not reached 2.8x stretch from it. 2.24 or so this was.

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There is nothing wrong with following Felix Navidad if you are into investing and have plenty of capital.

“My trades last week = the options sold up to 45 days ago expiring”. A bit of scamming going on, but I think we could still be friends, he does way more good than bad. Investing should be boring.

Trading, particularly day trading however requires a lot more in exchange for low / borrowed funds. This stimulating environment is my reality where paying back 3 credit cards, 2 personal loans and a flat paid off at 12% to date, a full time job, heart problems and a dysfunctioning family can take one to the level of OMFG creativity.

2024 Jan 1. – Jan 17. statement

Refresher quick course.

The mean on the 1H chart is the E-32 HL2 in yellow aka the Divider/ the Reset (at times it can be the S-30 in green)

The Separator is the E-16 HL2 – blue.

The E-44 (OBI) is light blue.

Bear Configuration means the E-44 on top, the E-32 below and the E-16 is further below.

The Safety lines are 28-pip displacements of the E-32 (0.28 & 2.8).

The purple and red interrupted lines are the displacements of the E-16 (channelling).

P means Partial discharge, meaning price going outside the Safety line and returning back inside. The arrow is a reminder for where price may be returning to from there.

F means full / deep discharge – this goes an extra 10-pips beyond the Safety line and returns.

P / NR – point of no return.

_Axel_S.ex4

Axel_S_Black_Template

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VWAP Oscillator Shaded

The Monthly is looking at itself in the mirror for some reason.

The idea is to spot divergences of course.

Sigh, hat’s in the ring.

Some of the principles I use in these latest generation auto trading routines of mine:

Max 2 longs and 2 shorts at any given time.

Opens are at market.

All positions have stop losses.

The first position is the next 30-min candle after the trigger condition.

The second position is a “back test” of the trigger candle, and the far end exceeded within 7 hours.

A second filter layer made of previous 1-2 days price movement relative to moving averages and Bollingers.

Trail stop applied.

Targeting is off of statistical likelihood.

Not interested in home runs.

The game is optimal filtering, a fragile balance of not losing too many trades, only really unwanted ones.

1-year backtest, max lots>

1-year, suggested starting size, max drawdown 52.5%:

About the viedo: that’s a totally phoney indicator that people just blew 160k on. It is reading the historical data from somewhere and then factors in a fitting trade. Hindsight is 20 – nothing. Their problem was probably having to come up with losing trades.

About the 35 profit factor: my record was 2443.

Baffled by my own creativity, here’s a 2-year backtest, starter-divider @ 4 of the Municipal Trader Commercial CRE>